diff --git a/drivers/cpuidle/governors/menu.c b/drivers/cpuidle/governors/menu.c
index 1560a9e76f06..110483f0e3fb 100644
--- a/drivers/cpuidle/governors/menu.c
+++ b/drivers/cpuidle/governors/menu.c
@@ -348,14 +348,12 @@ static int menu_select(struct cpuidle_driver *drv, struct cpuidle_device *dev,
 		 * If the tick is already stopped, the cost of possible short
 		 * idle duration misprediction is much higher, because the CPU
 		 * may be stuck in a shallow idle state for a long time as a
-		 * result of it.  In that case say we might mispredict and try
-		 * to force the CPU into a state for which we would have stopped
-		 * the tick, unless a timer is going to expire really soon
-		 * anyway.
+		 * result of it.  In that case say we might mispredict and use
+		 * the known time till the closest timer event for the idle
+		 * state selection.
 		 */
 		if (data->predicted_us < TICK_USEC)
-			data->predicted_us = min_t(unsigned int, TICK_USEC,
-						   ktime_to_us(delta_next));
+			data->predicted_us = ktime_to_us(delta_next);
 	} else {
 		/*
 		 * Use the performance multiplier and the user-configurable
@@ -380,8 +378,22 @@ static int menu_select(struct cpuidle_driver *drv, struct cpuidle_device *dev,
 			continue;
 		if (idx == -1)
 			idx = i; /* first enabled state */
-		if (s->target_residency > data->predicted_us)
-			break;
+		if (s->target_residency > data->predicted_us) {
+			if (!tick_nohz_tick_stopped())
+				break;
+
+			/*
+			 * If the state selected so far is shallow and this
+			 * state's target residency matches the time till the
+			 * closest timer event, select this one to avoid getting
+			 * stuck in the shallow one for too long.
+			 */
+			if (drv->states[idx].target_residency < TICK_USEC &&
+			    s->target_residency <= ktime_to_us(delta_next))
+				idx = i;
+
+			goto out;
+		}
 		if (s->exit_latency > latency_req) {
 			/*
 			 * If we break out of the loop for latency reasons, use
@@ -402,14 +414,13 @@ static int menu_select(struct cpuidle_driver *drv, struct cpuidle_device *dev,
 	 * Don't stop the tick if the selected state is a polling one or if the
 	 * expected idle duration is shorter than the tick period length.
 	 */
-	if ((drv->states[idx].flags & CPUIDLE_FLAG_POLLING) ||
-	    expected_interval < TICK_USEC) {
+	if (((drv->states[idx].flags & CPUIDLE_FLAG_POLLING) ||
+	     expected_interval < TICK_USEC) && !tick_nohz_tick_stopped()) {
 		unsigned int delta_next_us = ktime_to_us(delta_next);
 
 		*stop_tick = false;
 
-		if (!tick_nohz_tick_stopped() && idx > 0 &&
-		    drv->states[idx].target_residency > delta_next_us) {
+		if (idx > 0 && drv->states[idx].target_residency > delta_next_us) {
 			/*
 			 * The tick is not going to be stopped and the target
 			 * residency of the state to be returned is not within
@@ -428,6 +439,7 @@ static int menu_select(struct cpuidle_driver *drv, struct cpuidle_device *dev,
 		}
 	}
 
+out:
 	data->last_state_idx = idx;
 
 	return data->last_state_idx;